intelligence_estimate
kx21 Who's_next? 040317
...
kx21
*** Breaking_News ***


***
* Intelligence_Estimate- April 12 2004:-***


Given the casualties of

Apple's ' insurgents ' is about

10 times as high coalition troops which led by Orange.

Assume that the Total ' Insurgents ' in Apple = 2 Millions

An IE:-

The number of Coalition Troops required in Apple

= 2 Million / 10

= 200,000


i.e. The number of existing Coalition Troops is insufficient to meet the existing or potential Challenge / Mission in Apple...

Copyright 2004 kx21.com
040412
...
kx21 ***
* The Size of Black_Hole
***

Which is Bigger- Falluja or Najaf?

14 April 2004 (Using Google Search):-

Falluja- 398,000

Najaf- 315,000


Copyright 2004 kx21.com
040414
...
kx21 Corollary:-

Najaf is almost as BIG as Falluja...

What_a_Fuss!!!
040414
...
kx21 A M speculation:-

30 June 2004:

Najar Falluja...

Why_NOT?
040414
...
kx21 ***
* A M speculation (v1.1):-
***

30 June 2004:

Najaf Falluja

Tell One Why_NOT

And_I_will_Tell_you_How_Wonder_you_are...
040414
...
kx21 ***
* A M speculation (v1.2):-
***

30 June 2004:

Najaf is bigger than Falluja

Tell One Why_NOT

And_I_will_Tell_you_How_Wonder_you_are...
040414
...
kx21 ***
* M Prediction 21k:-
***

Najaf will be significantly BIGGER than Falluja ...
040414
...
... Is that Real or Phantom? 040414
...
kx21 ***
* No. of Troops Required April 22 2004:-
***

Given Death_Toll updated data:-

The Number of casualties of Apple ' insurgents ' is about

5 times as high as Orange led coalition troops.

Assume that the Total ' Insurgents ' in Apple = 2 Millions

An AQ Intelligence Estimate:-

The number of Coalition Troops required to meet the existing or potential Challenge / Mission in Apple (i.e. Historic_Mission of Bush / Orange)

= 2 Million / 5

= 400,000

The Shortfall: More than 200,000-
i.e. More than Total Number of existing Coalition Troops in Apple...

Copyright 2004 kx21.com
040422
...
somebody ***
* Between 300,000 and 400,000 troops
***

The Americans will have to invest a considerable number of soldiers for a long time before any semblance of peace can be restored to Iraq. The current troop strength is simply not enough. Between 300,000 and 400,000 troops will be needed to restore order, numbers that will no doubt finish off any hopes of Bush winning the upcoming election.

Luc, Canada

Extracted from I Link (April 22, 2004)

Can the violence in Iraq be stopped?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/talking_point/3645235.stm
040423
...
somebody ***
* The "test of a generation"
***

April 22, 2004

McCain (a Republican senator and former rival of President Bush) Says U.S. Needs 10,000 More Troops in Iraq

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=564&ncid=564&e=2&u=/nm/20040422/ts_nm/iraq_mccain_dc_1
040423
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somebody April 24, 2004:
Number of U.S. Troops Hurt in Iraq Jumps

* More than 15% from two weeks earlier *

The Pentagon announced Friday in its weekly casualty report that 3,864 troops have been wounded in action since the war began in March 2003, an increase of 595 from two weeks earlier.

% increase from two weeks earlier

= 595 / 3846 * 100

= 15.5 %
040424
...
... http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20040424/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/iraq_us_wounded&cid=542&ncid=1473 040424
...
... ***
* Prediction- U.S. Troops Hurt in Iraq
***

% Increase in April 2004:-

More than 25%...

Why_NOT?
040424
...
kx21 ***
* M Correlation:Death_Toll & Injury_Toll
***

No. of Injury_toll is more than 5 times of no. of Death_Toll

Proof:-

Given the ratio of U.S. military Injury_toll & Death Toll (as of 24 April 2004):-

1) Since the War started from March 2004:

3864 / 715 = 5.4

2) April 2004

595 / 107 = 5.6

This completes the proof...

Copyright 2004 kx21.com
040424
...
... Or simply, in mathematical form:-

* Injury_Toll 5 * Death_Toll *
040425
...
>> * Injury_Toll

5 * Death_Toll *
040425
...
. ***
* The tragic lesson of April 2004
***

A record 115 U.S. soldiers have died so far and 879 others have been wounded, 560 of them fairly seriously.

http://msnbc.msn.com/id/4825948/
040425
...
kx21 ***
* The Size of Black_hole
***

* Falluja vs. Najaf *

April 14 2004:-

398,000 for Falluja &

315,000 for Najaf...


April 26 2004:-

442,000 for falluja &

493,000 for najaf...

i.e. Najar is now bigger than falluja.

Percent (%) increased of the size (or Growth or expansion Rate)of Black_Hole

from 14 April 2004 to 26 April 2004:-

Falluja (11%) :

(442,000 - 398,000) / 398,000 * 100%

= 11%

Najar (57%):-

(493,000 - 315,000 ) / 315,000 * 100

= 57%

Copyright 2004 kx21.com
040426
...
kx21 ***
* The Size of Black_Hole 123:
***

1) Najaf is now bigger than falluja.

2) Najaf- 57% increased in 12 Days

3) Falluja- 11% increased in 12 Days

Copyright 2004 kx21.com
040426
...
kx21 ***
* No. of New Iraqi militia
***

Number of new Iraqi militia

= ( 5 to 10 ) * Injury_Toll of US

*iLink: MATH21k *
040516
...
kx21 For instance,

Let April 2004's Injury_toll of the US Troop = 5000

Number of new Iraqi militia produced in April 2004

= ( 5 to 10 ) * 5000

or more than 25,000.
040516
...
kx21 *iLink: MATH21k *

(Refined version)

Minimum Number of new Iraqi militia

= ( 5 to 10 ) * Injury_Toll of US Troop

Maximum Number of new Iraqi militia

= ( 5 to 10 ) * Injury_Toll of Iraqi
040516
...
. Oops...

"extrajudicial_abuses" is a M species of "Injury"...
040605
...
iJun232004 The Pentagon's Fuzzy Math
Does anyone know how many soldiers we really need?

June 23, 2004, at 2:11 PM PT


http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5277276/
040623
...
kx21 ***
* Tunnel
***

"Tunnel" Everywhere,

given

Tunnel_under_an_israeli_army_outpost.

Show one why_not...
And_I_will_tell_you_how_wonder_you_are...
040627
...
But... ***
* How many Britons are in Iraq?
***

It has been estimated that about 1,000 UK civilians are working in Iraq
040921
...
21 Sep 2004 "one of the most striking things about the flow of UK workers to Iraq is that nobody is sure exactly how many people are there, who they are, or what they are doing."

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/3676356.stm
040921
...
a Hoax * a_Point_in_time *

"M" Test: Given "88_154_64"...

What's next magic number? 040917
...
225.

Is that the Final_answer
or
?
040921
...
a "Point" ***
* How many Americans are in Iraq?
***
040921
...
a "Point" PCA:

What determined "Genuine Americans" in Itaq?

Oops...

US Military Death_'Toll'...
040921
...
. Lunaville Blog: Iraq Coalition Casualty Count
archives various reports of casualties in the U.S.-led war in Iraq. Includes news stories, timelines, and fatalities listed by name, time period, state, and city.
Category: War in Iraq Casualties
lunaville.org/warcasualties/Summary.aspx - 104k - Cached - More pages from this site

War in Iraq Casualties

http://dir.yahoo.com/Government/Military/War_in_Iraq/Casualties/
040921
...
921 921 U.S. Iraq Military Death_'Toll'

Intelligence estimate Sept. 21, 2004:-

More than 1,042...
040921
...
1113 * New Iraqi Terrorists *

Minimum Number of new Iraqi Terrorists

= 5 * Death_'Toll' of Iraqi Insurgents / Rebels

Maximum Number of new Iraqi Terrorists

= (Injury_'Toll' + 10 * Death_'Toll') of Iraqis
041113
...
1113 * New Iraqi Terrorists *

Minimum Number of new Iraqi Terrorists

= 5 * Death_'Toll' of Iraqi Insurgents / Rebels

Maximum Number of new Iraqi Terrorists

= (Injury_'Toll' + 10 * Death_'Toll') of Iraqis
041113
...
1113 * New Iraqi Terrorists *

Minimum Number of new Iraqi Terrorists

= 5 * Death_'Toll' of Iraqi Insurgents / Rebels

Maximum Number of new Iraqi Terrorists

= (Injury_'Toll' + 10 * Death_'Toll') of Iraqis
041113
...
13 Nov 2004 More than 5,000 New Iraqi Terrorists
"Pop up" in Falluja during November 2004...
041113
...
More than ***
* Death_Toll: Asian_Tsunami
***

200400...
041231
...
Karma * _didn't_know_whom_to_tell_ * 041231
...
* Tsunami Toll (Death_'Toll'),
Feared at 150,000, Dims New Year
Reuters -

112005 3 minutes ago *
041231
...
1192005 Global Asian_Tsunami Death Toll Tops

226,000

11:42 AM ET
050119
...
Prediction 1231:- 050119
...
. a "M" Test "Shock_and_Awe: a_Wrong_war_in_21k"

"Missing" / "Dead" Iraqis = ?

More than 200400...

Where_have_all_'dead_Iraqi_spirits'_returned_to___...
050119
...
Karma More than 200400... 050119
...
a "M" Test Fact or Fiction:-

12:47 a.m. ET 242005

U.S. to pull 15,000 troops from Iraq (next month)?
050203
...
Given "...a statement last week by Gen. George W. Casey Jr., the senior U.S. commander in Iraq, that 15,000 suspected insurgents had been killed or captured in the past year, after U.S. military authorities had said only 6,000 to 9,000 hard-core fighters existed."

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6909883/
050203
...
IED summer_'fires'__ 555... 050502
...
andru235 i'd estimate there isn't as much of it as the intelligence agencies fancy themselves to have... 050502
...
hsg # items u can juggle 110814
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